Canada -- Daramatic Internet Growth and Price Reductions

[Dave Farber <farber@central.cis.upenn.edu>]

>Date: Fri, 31 Mar 95 10:58:52 PST
>From: "Bill St. Arnaud +1 613 660-3497" <bstarn@canarie.ca>
>Subject: Daramatic Internet Growth and Price Reductions
>To: CANARIE National Test Network <testnet@canarie.ca>


>
>
>Some of our European and American friends may be interested to know how much
>it costs to establish a personal Web site in Canada. In Ottawa there are now
>a couple of ISP's who include a personal web site as part of their service
>offering.
>
>The Cost is $CDN 225 per year or $CDN 25 per month (approx $US 160/yr or $US
>15/mo) which includes 50 hours dial up access at 28.8 Kbps SLIP/PPP and
>includes 3 Mbytes of Personal Web Disk Space on the host server at T1 access
>speeds!!
>
>With these kinds of deals all sorts of individuals, associations and small
>businesses will be putting up their own Web sites.  The growth in Internet
>traffic is going to be absolutely phenomenal and drive the demand for
>broadband networks.
>
>To give you an indication of the growth of Internet traffic -- in Canada-- in
>1992 the Internet traffic in Canada was doubling every 5.3 months, in 1993 it
>was doubling every 4.8 months, in 1994 it was doubling every 4.4 months, and
>by all indications so far in 1995 it will be doubling at rate somewhat less
>than every 4 months!
>
>These growth rates are playing havoc with any attempts to predict traffic
>volumes 2 or 3 years hence. Traditional telecommunications industry
>forecasters are used to making traffic predictions 5 years out with
>confidence levels approaching 85%.  With the Internet, you can't predict more
>than 6 months out, and even at that you may have less than a 50% confidence
>level in your forecasts!!
>
>
>Bill
>
>-------------------------------------
>Bill St. Arnaud        Voice: +1 613 660-3497
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