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Subject: IP: Trader's error causes multi million-dollar loss: [risks] Risks Digest 21.81



Date: Tue, 04 Dec 2001 08:19:18 -0800
From: "George C. Kaplan" <gckaplan@ack.berkeley.edu>
Subject: Trader's error causes multi million-dollar loss

An article in the *Wall Street Journal* on 3 Dec 2001 describes how a simple
data-entry error could end up costing UBS Warburg up to $100 million:

  Dentsu Inc., one of the world's biggest advertising companies, was making
  its trading debut Friday on the Tokyo Stock Exchange after completing one
  of the year's biggest initial public offerings -- a deal arranged by UBS
  Warburg, a unit of Switzerland's UBS AG, ...

  Before the Tokyo market opened Friday, a UBS Warburg trader entered what
  was intended to be an order to sell 16 Dentsu shares at 610,000 yen
  ($4,924.53) each or above.  Instead, the trader keyed in an order to sell
  610,000 Dentsu shares at 16 yen apiece ...

The order was canceled by 9:02 AM, but not before 64,915 shares, almost half
of the 135,000 shares in the IPO, had been sold.  The price of Dentsu
shares, which had been bid up to 600,00 yen before the market opened, fell
to 405,000 yen.  Now, UBS Warburg is obligated to deliver the shares it
sold, and will have to buy them on the open market.

The article doesn't say anything about sanity checks in UBS's trading
software.  These have their own risks, of course, but you'd think that an
error of 4 orders of magnitude in the selling price would at least merit an
"Are you sure?" before the order went through.

Once again, we see how computers let people make really big mistakes quickly.

George C. Kaplan. Communication & Network Services, University of California
  at Berkeley  1-510-643-0496  gckaplan@ack.berkeley.edu

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