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Subject: [IP] Ornstein Column in Roll Call
I am off to Asia in mid-June and will see myself. djf ------ Forwarded Message From: clark johnson <clarkjohnson@cpinternet.com> Date: Thu, 21 Apr 2005 20:24:57 -0500 To: David Farber <dave@farber.net> Subject: Fwd: RE: Ornstein Column in Roll Call Dave- Did you see this? > Bad Policy Choices Are Worrisome for U.S. Economy's Future > > April 20, 2005 > By Norman Ornstein, > Roll Call Contributing Writer > > I recently returned from nearly two weeks in Asia, interacting with > people from across the continent at a conference in Cambodia and > traveling to Vietnam and other places in the region. The vibrancy in > Asia is staggering, as is the combination of rising nationalism and a > growing sense of continental identity. > > But it is Asia's economic dynamism that stands out the most. Of course, > Americans feel the results of that economic dynamism daily, in rising > gasoline prices driven in part by the insatiable demand for energy in > China and India. And the impact is lurking in another arena - the Asian > central banks that hold three-fourths of the dollars outstanding, > financing our budget and trade deficits and maintaining some > considerable control over our economic well-being. > > It is not just India and China that represent the future of Asian growth > and power. Japan seems finally to have turned a corner after a decade of > stagnation, although it still faces relatively modest economic growth. > Other countries have major assets and robust futures as well, including > Vietnam, South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore. All are expanding their > economic bases; all are turning out impressive numbers of scientists and > engineers to take advantage of the cutting-edge technologies that will > help drive the economies of the future. > > Unlike many observers, I did not come back to the United States > believing that China will leave us in the dust, or that the American > economy faces a bleak future. We have heard that story before - about > Japan, just to name one rival - and it has proved false. The United > States has strengths - in infrastructure, culture, education, freedom, > rule of law, environmental protection, size and heterogeneity - that no > one else can match or approach. > > But I am growing increasingly alarmed, less because of the dynamism in > Asia and more because of our blindness and obtuseness when it comes to > our crown jewel: our overwhelming lead in basic research and our > position as home to the best scientists in the world. > > Basic research is the real building block of economic growth, and here > we have had the franchise; just look at the number of Nobel Prize > winners from the United States compared to the rest of the world > combined. Our academic institutions and research labs have been magnets > attracting, and often keeping, the best and the brightest. Our academic > openness and our culture of freedom have encouraged good research and > challenges to orthodoxy. Our politicians have recognized that most basic > research has to be funded by the government because there is scant > short-term economic benefit for most businesses to do it themselves. > > But now, in a variety of ways, we are frittering away this asset, and > for no good reason. Start with the federal budget. Basic research has > been concentrated in a few key institutions: the National Institutes of > Health, the National Science Foundation, the National Institute of > Standards and Technology, and the Defense Advanced Research Projects > Agency at the Pentagon. After a series of pledges to double the NIH > budget and then keep it on a growth path, NIH has stagnated. Budget > growth for next year is one-half of 1 percent, which will be below > inflation for the first time since the 1980s, at a time when the need > for more biomedical research is obvious. > > The NSF budget is slated to grow by 2 percent, leaving it $3 billion > below the funding level Congress promised in 2002. At NIST, the Bush > administration is trying to eliminate the Advanced Technology Program > and to slash the Manufacturing Extension Partnership by 57 percent. At > DARPA, which originated the Internet but where computer science research > has been flat for several years, the money going to university > researchers has fallen precipitously, along with a larger focus on > applied research for the here and now. > > To quote my colleague, former Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.), this set of > budget priorities is insane. But the budget is only a part of it. Our > visa policies, understandable as they are after Sept. 11, 2001, are > keeping out the best and brightest foreign students and driving out some > of the best international scholars, leading other countries, such as > Australia, France and Germany, to seize the opportunity to enhance their > own research capabilities. > > Our decisions to curtail much research on stem cells is creating > opportunities elsewhere: Some of our best scientists are headed for > Singapore. The new NIH ethics rules are driving out top scientists and > causing others to reconsider their willingness to go to NIH. > > A half-century ago, we could count on the private sector to finance > crown jewels like Bell Labs and do a great deal of the basic research > that made America the world's leader. No more. To be sure, Silicon > Valley still steps up to the plate, and our pharmaceutical industry does > nearly all the cutting-edge drug research for the world. But much of the > information-technology and drug research has been heavily subsidized by > the federal government. And other heavy-handed government policies may > drain pharmaceutical company revenues enough to cut their research and > development. > > It is gut check time. The foolish fiscal policies that keep big > entitlements off the table, won't consider revenues along with spending, > and have turned the one-sixth of the budget that is discretionary into a > vicious, zero-sum game, are truly eating our seed corn in this critical > area. Somebody needs to get the White House to wake up, and Congress to > understand what it is mindlessly doing. > > Norman Ornstein is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise > Institute. > > Copyright 2005 (c) Roll Call Inc. 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