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Subject: Re: Cui bono..? Re: [IP] Europeans warned that 'Network neutrality' could raise broadband prices
Begin forwarded message: From: "Dirk van der Woude" <dirkvanderwoude@gmail.com> Date: October 22, 2008 5:43:00 AM EDT To: "Brett Glass" <brett@lariat.net> Cc: dave@farber.net, ip <ip@v2.listbox.com> Subject: Re: Cui bono..? Re: [IP] Europeans warned that 'Network neutrality' could raise broadband prices Reply-To: dhvanderwoude@gmail.com What I tried to convey is that any report on this subject needs to be transparant as to who or what paid for it. The report you linked to on Quintarelli's blog is a positive example, as all the logo's of the European duopoly are under it. One finds honest as well as self serving arguments in this discourse, it is my experience that 'spontaneous' reports by scientific institutes often indicate the latter. I agree at once with you that there's nothing wrong with paying a normal price for a good network with good service (disclosure: my 30/30 Mb Amsterdam FttH costs me euro 59 a month). As for Japan Kenjiro Cho et al. very recently published (Oct. 16) excellent new research showing that the percentage of bandwidth used for P2P in Japan is still high, however decreasing: http://www.iijlab.net/~kjc/papers/kjc-conext2008.pdf Earlier research by Cho et al. (2005) showed that yes, it is a small percentage of users that are 'heavy hitters' (i.e. P2P et.), however over time most users for a short time will belong to that small percentage. In other words a usage pattern comparable to that of many other infrastructures. In June '08 Barabasi (the author of 'Linked') published research on traffic patterns based on 100,000 followed EU cell phones. Conclusions: - 46% of all cell phone owners never leave home more than 6 miles - only 17% of people travel regularly beyond 37 miles - only a third of the above (6% of all) beyond 124 miles. http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/24969880/ http://www.research.neu.edu/news/?id=87 So together we pay for a long distance travel infrastructure i.e. highways, railroads (these are European cell phones), without having cui bono debates. Of course it helps that about 100% of the people want to keep the option value of the fast long distance travel, like for annual holidays. Last, back to Japan and broadband, the same Kenjiro Cho in May this year pointed to a guideline for packet shaping released by the Japan Internet Providers Association (JAIPA). Kenjiro quotes from the guideline: "Basic Concept Because of the rapid increase in Internet traffic, ISPs, etc. that either already implement or are considering implementing packet shaping are on the increase. However, it would not be appropriate for ISPs, etc. to easily implement packet shaping beyond a reasonable threshold for the purpose of averting network congestion when it should be tackled by enhancing network capacity. In the first place, ISPs, etc. should tackle the increase in traffic by enhancing its network capacity. It is important to recognize that packet shaping should be implemented only in exceptional circumstances, and to share this basic principle as a consensus among telecommunication carriers." The English version is at: http://www.jaipa.or.jp/other/bandwidth/guidelines_e.pdf On Wed, Oct 22, 2008 at 1:11 AM, Brett Glass <brett@lariat.net> wrote:
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